河北大学学报(哲学社会科学版) ›› 2018, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (5): 134-142.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1005-6378.2018.05.016

• 社会学研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

贫困地区人口外流的家庭及社会经济效应探析——以燕山—太行山和黑龙港流域农村贫困地区为例

李竞博   

  1. 中国人民大学 社会与人口学院, 北京 100872
  • 收稿日期:2018-06-12 出版日期:2018-09-25 发布日期:2018-09-25
  • 作者简介:李竞博(1987—),女,河北张家口人,经济学博士,中国人民大学社会与人口学院博士后,主要研究方向:劳动经济学、贫困人口、人口流动。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目“中国老龄化对生产率的影响及作用机制”(71473134)

The Economic Effects of the Population Mobility in the Poverty-Stricken Areas ——Taking Rural Poverty Areas in Yanshan, Taihang Mountain and Helong Gang as an Example

LI Jing-bo   

  1. School of Sociology and Population Studies, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China
  • Received:2018-06-12 Online:2018-09-25 Published:2018-09-25

摘要: 利用《河北省农村贫困地区人口调查问卷数据》的实证研究得出:对于有人口外流事实的家庭而言,家庭禀赋差异的存在导致外出人口并不完全能改善家庭经济状况,家庭经济效应并没有完全显现。家庭人口外流决策应该在保障基本农业生产的前提下,进行适当的人口外流。从宏观影响来看,一味的人口外流并不能完全改善农村经济状况,人口外流规模与农村经济呈倒“U”型,家庭成员平均外出1人更有益于农村经济发展。基于此,就农村贫困地区而言,就地城镇化及县内转移实现人口的相对集聚,是家庭实现可持续发展及地区经济竞争性发展的重要举措。

关键词: 人口流动, 家庭经济效应, 社会经济效应

Abstract: Based on The Special Questionnaire Survey on the Population in Poverty-stricken Areas of Hebei Province, this paper concluded that for families that have population outflow, family endowment differences leading to the migration are not fully able to improve family economic status, and family economic effect is not obvious. The family decision of population outflow should be based on the premise of ensuring the basic agricultural production. Then family can arrange the proper population outflow. From the macro aspect, outflow population cannot fully improve the economy of rural areas. The relationship between the scale of the outflow population and the rural economy is inverted U-shaped. The scale is one person in the family is more conducive to the rural economy on average. Based on this, this paper argues that, in the poverty-stricken areas, using the in-situ urbanization and the county transferring to achieve the relative concentration of the population is a considerable measure to realize sustainable development of household and regional economic competitiveness.

Key words: population mobility, economic effect of family, economic effect of society

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