河北大学学报(哲学社会科学版) ›› 2019, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (6): 120-129.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1005-6378.2019.06.014

• 管理学研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国社会保险与经济发展的耦合协调关系

邓大松,范秋砚,杨晶   

  1. 武汉大学 社会保障研究中心, 湖北 武汉 430072
  • 收稿日期:2019-04-15 出版日期:2019-11-25 发布日期:2019-11-25
  • 作者简介:邓大松(1949—),男,广西全州人,武汉大学社会保障研究中心教授、博士生导师,主要研究方向:社会保障理论与政策、公共经济管理。
  • 基金资助:
    教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目“中国扶贫战略研究”(16JJD840007);“研究阐释党的十九大精神”教育部人文社会科学研究专项“加快实现社会养老保险全国统筹研究”(18JF224)

The Coupling and Coordination Relationship between Social Insurance and Economic Development in China

DENG Da-song, FAN Qiu-yan, YANG Jing   

  1. Social Security Research Center, Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei 430072, China
  • Received:2019-04-15 Online:2019-11-25 Published:2019-11-25

摘要: 社会保险与经济发展的互动关系长期以来都是学术界探讨的热点问题。在分析社会保险和经济发展互动机制的基础上,利用耦合协调模型,通过建立社会保险和经济发展子系统的评价指标,利用2006—2017年间的数据,对两者之间的耦合协调关系进行实证分析。研究结论如下,中国社会保险和经济发展两个子系统的耦合度和协调度呈逐年上升的趋势,由失调发展转变为低度协调,由颉颃阶段向良性耦合转变。具体来看,社会保险综合评价指标值从2006年的0.101提高到2017年的0.728,经济发展综合评价指标值从2006年的0.074增加到2017年的0.257,尤其是2010年后,中国经济发展着力推进经济结构转型和增长动能转换,更为注重经济质量的提升和经济效益的增长,经济发展综合评价指数增长趋势在第二阶段显著高于第一阶段。以上发现为不断深化中国社会保险体系并促进新时代经济高质量发展提供了有力的佐证。

关键词: 社会保险, 经济发展, 耦合协调, 熵值法

Abstract: The interaction between social insurance and economic development has long been a hot issue.Based on the analysis of the interaction mechanism between social insurance and economic development, this paper uses the coupling and coordination model to establish the index of social insurance and economic development subsystems, and uses the data from 2006 to 2017 to conduct an empirical analysis of the coupling and coordination relationship.The conclusions of the study are as follows: The coupling degree and coordination degree of the two subsystems of social insurance and economic development in China are increasing year by year, and from maladjusted development to low coordination, from staggered stage to benign coupling.specifically, the comprehensive evaluation of Chinas social insurance from 0.101 in 2006 to 0.728 in 2017, and the comprehensive evaluation of Chinas economic development also from 0.074 in 2006 to 0.257 in 2017. In particular, after 2010, Chinas economic development will promote the transformation of economic structure and the transformation of growth kinetic energy, paying more attention to the improvement of economic quality and the growth of economic benefits. The growth trend of the comprehensive evaluation index of economic development is significantly higher than the first stage in the second stage. The above findings provide a strong evidence for continuously deepening Chinas social insurance system and promoting the high-quality economic development in the New Era.

Key words: social insurance, economic development, coupling and coordination, entropy method

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