河北大学学报(哲学社会科学版) ›› 2025, Vol. 50 ›› Issue (6): 147-160.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1005-6378.2025.06.015

• 经济学研究 • 上一篇    

中国积极财政政策何以有效?——基于地市级地方政府层面全要素生产率视角

周波,赵春晓   

  1. 东北财经大学 财政税务学院, 辽宁 大连 116025
  • 收稿日期:2024-10-05 发布日期:2025-11-19
  • 作者简介:周波(1977—),男,内蒙古赤峰人,博士,东北财经大学财政税务学院教授、博士生导师,主要研究方向:财政理论与政策。 赵春晓(1981—),女,河北石家庄人,东北财经大学财政税务学院博士研究生,主要研究方向:财政理论与政策。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金面上项目“财政分权、政府间经济职能分工与我国宏观经济稳定:生成机制、实证检验与改革方略选择”(71873024);辽宁省教育厅重点项目“政府间环保事权配置与环境治理绩效:经济职能与公共事务治理职能协调框架”(LJ11241017)

Why Is China’s Proactive Fiscal Policy Effective?: From the Perspective of Total Factor Productivity at the Prefecture-Level Local Government

ZHOU Bo,ZHAO Chunxiao   

  1. School of Public Finance and Taxation, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian, Liaoning 116025, China
  • Received:2024-10-05 Published:2025-11-19

摘要: 在我国实施更加积极的财政政策背景下,科学评价中国实施多年的积极财政政策的政策效果,具有重要的理论和实践价值。不同于常见的从全国和省级政府层面测算财政乘数的做法,立足于中国积极财政政策分解到发展型地方政府实施实践,探究地市级地方政府执行积极财政政策经由全要素生产率渠道发挥积极财政效能的潜在影响。基于中国发展型政府施行积极财政政策实践,从理论层面探究积极财政政策在地方政府层面执行经由全要素生产率提升有效性及其影响因素,并使用面板联立模型方法实证研究发现,积极财政政策的有效性可以通过提升地市级政府层面全要素生产率渠道实现,财政透明度通过直接效应和间接效应提升积极财政政策有效性,而土地配置经由直接效应机制提升积极财政政策有效性。这不仅从地方政府层面的全要素生产率渠道支持中国积极财政政策有效性,为继续实施更加积极的财政政策提供政策指向。

关键词: 积极财政政策, 全要素生产率, 财政透明度, 土地资源配置

Abstract: Against the backdrop of Chinas implementation of a more proactive fiscal policy,scientifically evaluating the effects of the proactive fiscal policy that China has implemented for many years holds significant theoretical and practical value.Unlike the common practice of calculating fiscal multipliers at the national and provincial government levels,this study focuses on the implementation practice of Chinas proactive fiscal policy decomposed to developmental local governments,and explores the possible impact of prefecture-level local governments implementation of proactive fiscal policy on exerting proactive fiscal effectiveness through the channel of total factor productivity(TFP).Based on the practice of proactive fiscal policy implemented by Chinas developmental governments,this study theoretically explores the effectiveness of Chinas economic and fiscal policies implemented at the local government level through TFP improvement and its influencing factors.Using a panel simultaneous equation model for empirical research,it is found that the effectiveness of proactive fiscal policy can be achieved by improving the TFP at the prefecture-level government and fiscal transparency enhances the effectiveness of proactive fiscal policy through both direct and indirect effects,while land allocation improves the effectiveness of proactive fiscal policy through a direct effect mechanism.This study not only supports the effectiveness of Chinas proactive fiscal policy from the TFP channel at the local government level,but also provides policy directions for the continued implementation of a more proactive fiscal policy.

Key words: proactive fiscal policy, total factor productivity, fiscal transparency, land resource allocation

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