河北大学学报(哲学社会科学版) ›› 2018, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (1): 152-160.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1005-6378.2018.01.022

• 社会学研究 • 上一篇    

我国生育意愿研究述评与展望(1982—2016年)

贾志科,罗志华   

  1. 河北大学 政法学院, 河北 保定 071002
  • 收稿日期:2017-07-31 出版日期:2018-02-20 发布日期:2018-02-20
  • 作者简介:贾志科(1982—),男,河北石家庄人,博士,河北大学政法学院副教授,主要研究方向:人口社会学。
  • 基金资助:
    河北省社科基金项目“河北省全面实施两孩政策对青年生育意愿的影响研究”(HB16SH005);国家社科基金一般项目“全面两孩政策下家庭儿童养育成本对生育意愿和行为的影响研究”(17BRK025);河北省宣传文化系统“四个一批”人才项目“养育成本对城市家庭生育意愿的影响研究”;河北省青年拔尖人才支持计划以及河北大学中西部高校提升综合实力工程项目资助。

Review and Prospect of Fertility Desire Research in China(1982—2016)

JIA Zhi-ke,LUO Zhi-hua   

  1. College of Political Science and Law, Hebei University, Baoding, Hebei 071002, China
  • Received:2017-07-31 Online:2018-02-20 Published:2018-02-20

摘要: 基于1982—2016年间国内关于生育意愿的研究成果,从研究的地域范围、对象、方法和内容等方面考察了该领域研究的总体状况,并对未来的研究方向和趋势进行了展望。研究发现,我国城乡居民的生育意愿已经发生了显著变化,不同群体间的生育意愿差异正在逐渐缩小,研究方法以定量研究和实证调查为主,内容上呈现出研究维度多元化和影响因素多样化的特征。未来一段时间内,国内有关生育意愿的研究将进一步深入探讨生育意愿与生育行为间的关系问题,注重对同一群体进行追踪调查研究,合理运用定量与定性相结合的研究方法,着重研究生育政策调整对生育意愿变化的影响。

关键词: 生育意愿, 影响因素, 研究述评, 趋势展望

Abstract: Based on the research findings of fertility desire from 1982 to 2016, this paper generalizes the overall situation from four aspects, such as research area, object, method and content, and then it prospects the research directions and trends of fertility desire in the future. It shows that fertility desire among urban and rural residents has undergone significant changes in China, and the differences of fertility desire have been gradually reduced between different groups, the research method is mainly based on quantitative research and empirical investigation and the research content presents the characteristics of diversification of dimensions and diversification of influencing factors. In the future, domestic research will pay more attention to the relationship between fertility intention and behavior, focus on the follow-up study of the same group using both quantitative and qualitative research methods rationally, and focus on the impact of family policy adjustment on fertility desire change.

Key words: fertility desire, influence factor, research review, tendency prospect

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